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家园 【文摘】美国到底有多强?看看Paul Craig Robert

怎么说"China is not the problem"

The free market economists ignore that a country that offshores its production also offshores its jobs. It becomes dependent on goods and services made in foreign countries, but lacks sufficient export earnings with which to pay for them. A country whose workforce is being reallocated, under pressure of offshoring, to domestic services has nothing to trade for its imports. That is why the US trade deficit has exploded to over $800 billion annually.

Among all the countries of the world, only the US can get away with exploding trade deficits. The reason is that the US inherited from Great Britain, exhausted by two world wars, the reserve currency role. To be the reserve currency country means that your currency is the accepted means of payment to settle international accounts. Countries pay their oil import bills in dollars and settle the deficits in their trade accounts in dollars.

The enormous and continuing US deficits are wearing out the US dollar as reserve currency. A time will come when the US cannot pay for the imports, on which it has become ever more dependent, by flooding the world with ever more dollars.

Offshoring and free market ideology are turning the US into a third world country. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, one-quarter of all new US jobs created between June 2006 and June 2007 were for waitresses and bartenders. Almost all of the net new US jobs in the 21st century have been in domestic services.

此君的来头不小

He served as an Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan Administration earning fame as the "Father of Reaganomics".

他是我比较尊重的一个美国人,发表的言论都比较中肯。美国真正强大的地方正是他的思想家。但是这些人的言论正被边缘化。所以我觉得美国衰退是无可避免的事。

美国的经济就像一颗被淘空的大树,可能依旧看起来很壮观,可能还可以保持生机一段时间,但是如果没有适当的补救手段,枯萎是迟早的事。

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