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主题:【原创】简单评论评论蒋介石 -- 电子赵括

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家园 英国,日军

英军出动了27艘军舰,1万5千军队增援上海的压力下,国民政府仍然能在2月19日,20日成功收回汉口九江的英租界

Britain is far from China and the supply line is by far too long, so they could hardly win if there was any conflict between both sides.

日军是依照辛丑条约驻扎在华北的则不是那么为人熟知.如果国民政府能够维持当年的破竹势头"废除一切不平等条约",不要说芦沟桥,连918都不会有.

The risk is too high, because Japan is very close to China, and they don't have serious problem with supply line. It is quite possible to trigger a war if Jiang would do like that, while launching a war against Japan by Jiang at that time was apparently politically unwise. It is no good to make too many enemies either domestically or internationally. Jiang just defeated those domestic military lords (partially contributed by Zhang's YiZhi) , and his position was not well recognized. It is quite possible that only Jiang himself struggled to start an open war with whole Japan (Refere to Primer Li HongZhang of Qin in 1894). It is quite likely he couldn't obtain any supports from other domestic military lords, like Yan, Li, Zhang, and Feng. (Refer to how those peasant style generals of 29A did in Beijing in 1937) Moreover, in 1928, not only Jiang's armies, it might be any of Chinese armies was not sufficiently strong to win Japanese armies in an open war. This could be proved by 1/28 event in shangahi, when 19A of Guangdong, and 5A of Jiang had fights with Japanese armies, which turned out the best Chinese army could not resist Janpese army's attack. How comes 9/18? It is simply because silly boy Zhang ShaoShuai had no courage to stop KuandoGun's attack using force. Zhang's army could be one of the best armies armed with best weapons in China.

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