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主题:【讨论】美国7000亿救市计划的缺陷和这次金融危机的深化 -- 厚积薄发

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家园 【原创译文】解决这次金融危机的一个十步方案 III

续前文:zlusc:【原创译文】解决这次金融危机的一个十步方案 I

zlusc:【原创译文】解决这次金融危机的一个十步方案 II

第十,在金融全球化的条件下,应当尽快实施对金融机构管理和监督系统的改革。随着影子银行系统的瓦解,绝大多数的影子银行都已经被纳入到传统银行的体系中,必将象传统银行一样被监管。事实上,所有重要的大的金融机构(商业银行,投资银行,非银行的抵押贷款公司,对冲基金,私人股权基金等)都应当以同样的方式被监管。为确保金融体系更加稳定,避免出现象目前这样的严重的经济危机出现,应该加强对传统银行和过去的影子银行的监管,而不能延续过去十年中那种松懈的管理。然而,传统银行在这次金融危机中的表现是一样的差,有些甚至更差,损失了比影子银行更多的资金。对传统银行松懈的监管以及对影子银行缺乏合理的规范使得整个监管的体系远远地落在时下的金融危机的后面。因此,只有合理的改革现行的金融机构监管制度,才能将影子银行并入传统银行系统的行动转化成稳定整个金融体系的结果。这一重要内容正是我为最近出版的世界经济论坛所作的金融发展报告中一个章节的主题(题目是:“金融全球化之下的金融危机,金融市场的稳定和金融系统监管的改革。”)。

Tenth, start implementing rapidly a reform of the system of regulation and supervision of financial institutions in a world of financial globalization. With the collapse of most of the shadow banking system most of these shadow banks are now being folded in the traditional banks and will be regulated like banks. Indeed all institutions of large size and that are systemically important (commercial banks, investment banks, non-bank mortgage lenders, hedge funds, private equity funds, etc.) should be supervised and regulated in a similar way. To make the financial system more stable over time and avoid severe financial crises like the current one will require that both banks and former shadow banks be regulated and supervised better than they have been in the last decade. After all traditional banks have performed as poorly – and some more poorly – and have lost more money than shadow banks during this severe financial crisis. So both the poor regulation and supervision of banks (as regulators were asleep at the wheel while the laissez fair ideology and voodoo-cult of self-regulation and market discipline and internal risk management became dominant) and the lack of sensible regulation of shadow banks lies behind the current financial disaster. Thus, folding shadow banks back into the traditional banking system will make the overall financial system more stable only if the proper reform of the regulation and supervision of financial institutions in a world of financial globalization will be undertaken. This important matter is the subject of the chapter (titled “Financial Crises, Financial Stability, and Reform: Supervision and Regulation of the Financial System in a World of Financial Globalization”) that I have written for the recently published World Economic Forum’s Financial Development Report.

这一章详细分析了新兴市场经济金融危机的一些重要事件;探讨了这一危机的原因和后果,评估了此次危机的经济和财政成本;讨论了货币和信贷政策是否应针对资产价格和资产泡沫;研究了导致此次金融危机的脆弱的金融监管系统;最后分析了在金融全球化条件下,为防止未来的危机的出现,对金融机构管制系统进行改革的11个重要问题。这11个问题是金融监管改革的关键点:银行家,交易商的不合理的薪酬系统以及相关金融机构股东和他们的经理人之间的问题;证券模型的产生和传播中的缺陷;监管套利,依赖于短期流动资金融资,高杠杆和长期流动资金贷款给影子银行系统带来的不稳定性;自我调节的弱点,市场准则和严格规章的监管;周期性的资本需求以及Basel II资本需求相关的问题;对信用评级机构不合理的奖励;合理价值法对低流动性资产的价值评估;缺乏透明性的金融市场;缺乏监管制度;缺乏国际合作的监管政策;以及谁来监管监管者的问题,即如何避免金融行业的监督者和管理者出现监管俘获(Regulatory Capture)的现象。

This chapter analyzes in detail the episodes of financial crisis in emerging market economies and advanced economy; discusses the causes and consequences of such crisis; measures the economic and fiscal costs of such crises; discusses the debate on whether monetary and credit policy should target asset prices and asset bubbles; studies the weaknesses of financial regulation and supervision in advanced economies financial systems that led to the recent crises; and finally considers eleven separate key issues in the reform of the regulation and supervision of financial institutions in a world of financial globalization that are necessary to prevent future crisis and make them less virulent. These eleven issues that are key in reforming financial regulation and supervision are: the distorted compensation system of bankers/traders and the related agency problems between financial institutions shareholders and their managers; the flaws of the originate and distribute securitization model; regulatory arbitrage and the instability of the shadow banking system given its reliance on short term liquid financing, high leverage and long term illiquid lending; the weaknesses of self-regulation and market discipline and the need of greater rules-based regulation; pro-cyclical capital requirements and other issues with the Basel II capital requirements; the distorted incentives of credit rating agencies; asset valuation and fair value accounting in a world where assets can be highly illiquid and hard to price; the lack of transparency in financial markets; the inadequate regulatory regime; the lack of international coordination of regulatory policies; and the issue of who will regulate the regulators, i.e. how to avoid the regulatory capture by the financial industry of the regulators and supervisors of financial institutions.

现在影子银行系统已经并入了常规的银行系统,也正是我们可以重新思考如何妥善地监管不同的银行和以前的那些非银行的金融机构的时候了。

So now that the shadow banking system is being folded in the formal banking system it is high time to rethink how both banks and the former non-bank financial institutions should be properly regulated and supervised.

全文完。

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关键词(Tags): #金融危机#救市计划#鲁比尼

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