主题：【原创】讲讲我对工厂高层的看法 -- wqnsihs

这觉得这话可能不大对，很多决策本身就是一个艰难的决策，决策的后果可能是一个概率事件，可是你又必须做出决策。一个外交家、政治家能做的也只有两个：一是尽最大可能使出现好的结果的概率最大；二是在让尽可能多的人对决策的过程或者说程序满意，这样即使出现了不好的结果，大家也能够接受。

美国前财长rubin在哈佛演讲有这么一段话：

From the guidance of this gentle professor, and from all my other experience at Harvard, I developed in the core of my being the view that there are no provable absolutes, and that, with the absence of provable certainty, all decisions are about probabilities - that is, all decisions are about the respective probabilities, of each of a number of possible outcomes actually occurring. Moreover, recognizing that all decisions are about probabilities rather than certainties should lead us to uncover and engage with the full array of complexities around making the best decisions.