主题：【读书笔记】IPCC究竟讲了什么？28 预估：情景和气温 -- 橡树村

when I said "反例" earlier, I mean it is against the odds, not meaning impossible. Just as the 2003 heat waves were consistent with the odds: such events should be more frequent according to CC model predictions; but the current model predicts that cold spells should be less frequent: so what happened this winter is against the odds as it is predicted by the model?

You are totally right that "这种极端气候应该是非常好的研究机会", there are so many uncertainties in our understanding. I am just wondering if enough Chinese scientists are doing this line of work: China has so many extreme weather conditions in the last few years: 2007年四川大旱,2008年雪灾,2009年春北方大旱,

2010年初云贵川桂大旱.

We really need to improve our understanding of CC, especially for adaptation.