主题：特斯拉究竟是在做什么？ -- 大山猫

Cheney is small potato. There are masterminds behind him. Those NewCons have their foreign policies based on a critical assumption: peak oil theory.

Please google "peak oil". It has been out since late 1990s and early 2000s, based on solid mathematical modeling and engineering data (FYi, all PetroChina's wells have peaked in production--so China's domestic oil production has a time bomb ticking already). They sense a global peaking in oil production AND THEY ARE AFRAID OF 文明扩充停下脚步. The Iraq War has a sole purpose to ensure that AT LEAST American 文明扩充 will not 停下脚步 just because of oil constraint. As to the inevitable contraction in Europe/Asia/Africa, American NewCons clearly do not care at all.

The peak oil assumption totally missed out two issues, 1)the shale gas tech., which was pioneered by Mitchell; 2)Iraq is so costly/difficult to control (a lesson after 2003)

American elites totally ignored their European allies' interests, and believe that control of choke points, such as Afganistan, could contain a weak Russia and a formerly weak China. In the end, the 2000s Bush gov. alienated almost everybody in the world, except China (a cheap ally out of economic agreement--China buys U.S. treasury notes).

You have to admit that NewCons have one thing right: there is PEAK OIL for CONVENTIONAL OIL FIELDS, and there WILL be an inevitable PEAK MOMENT FOR shale oil (oilsands in Canada too) TOO.

America shall not rest its security on an temporary bandit solution--shale oil. It should expand the boundary of energy source for its LONG TERM GROWTH AND PROSPERITY, therefore, another group of elites kicked out NewCons from the Bush adminstration and their main message: to re-focus America's efforts on new sources of energy or at least replacement technology to REDUCE DEPENDENCY ON OIL (both FOREIGN and domestic). Currently, America's daily oil consumption is around 16-18 million barrels, half of which is related to the use of car by average Joes.

That's why Tesla must succeed. China is also investing in EV tech (China's daily oil consumption is already 8m barrels and it is still growing fast since China has overtaken America as THE LARGEST CAR PRODUCER IN THE WORLD), but its political effort is often self-contradictory (central gov. vs. local gov.; fights among different industries, eg., oil vs. electric generators). So China and America could start around the same time (2008-2009), but America could finally win out given its superior political and financial infrastructures.

If the world still grow under the current model, we will need 100m barrels of oil every DAY just to maintain our current way of life. Human beings will hit the wall sooner or later and THE WHOLE WORLD NEED A BRUTAL WAR TO DRAMATICALLY SHRINKING THE POPULATION(thus oil consumption) TO meet THE CURRENT RESOURCE CONSTRAINT, if there is no tech. breakthrough.