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主题:专业化救灾 -- 大山猫

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家园 病毒的发展有一波流和种田流两种风格

一波流的病毒面对人类社会采取隔离手段马上就怂了,因为没有下一个宿主可以转移,于是病毒全灭,这样的病毒类似于天花和SARS。

既然一波流注定全灭,剩下的一定是种田流的,慢慢发展,慢慢感染新的宿主,尽量不影响宿主,就算影响也不要致命。病毒的变异越快,朝向种田流的速度也就越快,于是人类社会总是感冒,流感,疱疹,HPV这些低毒病毒,一个能打的都没有。乙肝算厉害的,一样可以健康携带终身。

新冠是单链RNA病毒,单个位点变异的速度比人基因快10万倍,所以它的走势一看就明白了,要么全灭,要么低毒化运行。

几百万年以来,哺乳动物和病毒的斗争就是这样进行。病毒总是琢磨着跨种传播,黑天鹅效应,时间长了,黑天鹅总是会有,于是跨物种出现一个高毒病毒,复制非常快,它要么消灭这个物种,要么被这个物种消灭,新变异的病毒全灭,剩余者成为健康带菌者,然后病毒慢慢变异,彼此妥协。

至于石正丽论文里面公布的病毒序列和本次新冠仅仅相差1200个核苷酸,变异是来不及变异的,要石正丽自己做出来,估计她既没有这个能力,也没有这个胆量,她所在的单位绝对不会允许她去做这种对东亚人种不友好的病毒。

但是石正丽的项目,她不是第一作者,也不是通讯作者,说明她不是关键的角色,合作方北卡主导整个项目,但奇怪的是,北卡没有一个华人参与这个项目,这在北美随便一篇论文中都能找到几个华人的生物界极不正常。最合理的推论是在北美有一个平行项目,但这个项目和石正丽无关。

本来我也不信,过年的时候看到下面的话, 盎格鲁撒克逊计划:

And then the next thing that happens in this chess game that’s being played is that biological weapons are released on China. He heard this being discussed in this meeting.

They will release a flu-like virus that will be genetically targeted against the Chinese population. It’s racially targeted against the Chinese people. It’s designed to spread like wildfire and to knock out a large number of the Chinese people. And these people in this meeting were LAUGHING about this.

They said: China will catch a cold. Those were their words: China will catch a cold. And they were laughing about the fact that these biological weapons will wreak havoc among the Chinese population.

After that, then what effectively will be a kind of plague will actually spread right across the world to the West as well. Our source was not clear whether this was a Chinese retaliation, or whether the thing would just spread out of control in the way that it would be very understandable if it did, whether it’s racially targeted or not. These things actually mutate.

看完后毛骨悚然。

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