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主题:【通告】明年中国可能在印尼有大规模经济开发展开动作 -- wqnsihs

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      • 家园 我想主要的原因一个是资源

        除这些帖子里提到的煤炭和镍矿外,印尼现在还有个据称价值六千亿美元的油气田叫什么那拉那还是杜拉度的忘了。你搜下可能能找的到。不知道中海油或别的央企能不能抢的到,如果能抢到确会是很大的利益。当然很多别的小点的油气田,搞不清楚那里怎么多资源。一个就是那里是中国的海外华人最集中的地区,而且控制着那里主要的经济活动,这是极大的便利。而且那里现在对华人已经取消了很多种族限制或歧视的措施。再一个那里的很多地方其实是处于某种形式的自治状态,在巨量的中国人口的基础上,只要有水平操控起来还是很有可能的(即那里总统或政策的变化的风险可以规避)。要是将来的小习同志胆子肥点水平高点,把那里的部分地区变成我们的隐秘的殖民地,动乱的时候搞个武装割据甚至独立是完全有可能的。当地土著其实还算单纯。

        找到了,就在我们划的线边上,要是那条线再往前多花几毫米就好了。或者要是不内斗的话,花点钱从荷兰人手里把它买下来。http://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/natuna/

        Natuna Gas Field, Indonesia

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        key facts

        Key Data

        Name

        Natuna field

        Location

        Greater Sarawak Basin, South China Sea

        Blocks

        A, B, D-Alpha, Kapak

        Shore

        700 miles off Jakarta, 140 miles north-east of the Natuna Islands

        Discovered

        1970

        Recoverable Reserves

        46tcf

        CO2

        70%

        Full specifications

        Natuna gas field is in the Greater Sarawak Basin about 1,100km (700 miles) north of Jakarta and 225km (140 miles) northeast of the Natuna Islands, Indonesia's northernmost territory in the South China sea.

        Discovered in 1970 by Italy's Agip, the field is the biggest in Southeast Asia with an estimated 46 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of recoverable reserves, but has been developed only recently.

        "Natuna gas field is in the Greater Sarawak Basin about 1,100km (700 miles) north of Jakarta."

        A 1980, 50-50 venture in Natuna D-Alpha area, East Natuna, between Pertamina (Indonesia's state-owned petroleum company) and Exxon Mobil Corp of the US, didn't result in production. The 71% CO2 content made gas extraction from the huge 1.3-trillion-cubic-metre area expensive, and development difficult. Despite Exxon's $400m and Pertamina's $60m investments, the Indonesian Government terminated its contract with Exxon in 2007 leaving Pertamina in charge.

        East Natuna has been little explored over the last 15 years, mainly due to political disruption, its remoteness, and because discoveries such as Exxon's have proved uneconomic to develop. Reservoirs in the region are in the Middle to Late Miocene reefs, underlain and overlain by deltaic sediments.

        PREMIER OIL

        In January 1996, Premier Oil bought Sumatra Gulf Oil Ltd giving it a majority interest in the Natuna Sea block-A offshore Indonesia, the Anoa oil field and substantial gas reserves. The company also acquired Discovery Petroleum, and an interest in the Kakap license, part of the West Natuna project delivering gas to Singapore via a pipeline directly over the Gajah Baru field.

        The 640km Natuna transportation system is one of the world's longest subsea gas pipelines, delivering 3.4 billon cubic metres annually. The line takes gas from Anoa, Kakap, Belida, Buntal, Tembang and Belanak territories in block B, the neighbouring Natuna Sea block A and Kakap block. In 2002, Premier sold part of its interest in West Natuna.

        In 2000, the Gajah Baru-1 discovery well had proven gas columns in eight reservoir sands in the Arang formation near to the West Natuna gas project.

        "Discovered in 1970 by Italy's Agip, the Natuna field is the biggest in Southeast Asia."

        The well flowed 40mmscf/d in tests, with the maximum rate constrained by surface equipment limitations.

        It was drilled to 5,290ft with the Trident 17 jack-up rig using a slim-hole well design. High-quality gas samples were recovered from the flow tests and wire line sampling. Discoveries were also made at Naga-1, Iguana-1 and Ande Ande Lumut-1.

        CONOCO

        The West Natuna Gas Consortium, a joint venture consisting of Pertamina, Conoco, Premier Oil and Gulf Indonesia Resources, was contracted by SembGas of Singapore in January 1999 for 325 million cubic feet per day (mcfd) of natural gas. A pipeline contract went to McDermott International.

        In November 1999, Conoco reported a gas discovery at West Natuna which boosted reserves by about 1tcf. In 2001, the company was developing the Belanak field in West Natuna, intending to export 250mmcfd gas to Malaysia through a 22in submarine pipeline from producing fields to the Belida / Belanch tie-in, with a subsequent 28in line to Singapore.

        The project, engineered by Brown & Root Singapore, was located in Conoco-operated South Natuna Sea block B in Indonesian waters, approx 200km off Singapore. It involved the construction of one of the most complex processing systems ever installed offshore, and SharpEye Triple IR (IR3) optical flame detectors.

        Conoco used a purpose-built, mobile, gas production jack-up, as on smaller gas fields in West Natuna. Automation supplier Honeywell Industry Solutions were contracted $14.5m to develop an integrated topsides-and-marine automation system for the grassroots Floating, Production, Storage and Offloading (FPSO) facility, the Belanak Natuna, and two wellhead platforms. The Belanak field came onstream in 2004.

        "A pipeline linking East Natuna with Sarawak and the Philippines is unlikely to be built in the near future."

        The Udang field in the east of Natuna began production in 1980, reaching 36,000bpd from two platforms in 1981, but is now unoperational. ConocoPhillips has five fields in the Natuna Sea and 16 gas fields.

        FUTURE NATUNA PROJECTS

        Malaysia began importing gas from the Natuna Sea in mid-2003 but a pipeline linking East Natuna with Sarawak and the Philippines is unlikely to be built in the near future due to concerns about expense and security.

        Other possibilities include linking gas grids from Thailand to China via an offshore pipeline heading in both directions from a hub at the Natuna gas field, enabling the export of south-east Asian gas to China. An alternative version would link only Indonesia and China.

        Economical Value

        The interest people put on Natuna Area is mainly due to its strategic location and its economical value, i.e. its hydrocarbon resources. It is here that the biggest gas field in Indonesia was found (Esso's giant "L" Field), which is unfortunately not developed yet. The value of the area is increasing lately with the advent of the West Natuna Gas Project, which is a project selling gas produced from gas fields in the West Natuna Area owned by Gulf, Premier Oil and Conoco to Singapore.

        Exploration history of the Natuna Area was started in 1968 when Natuna Sea Block "A" (covering the north part of Natuna Area) and Natuna Sea Block "B" (the south part) respectively were awarded to AGIP and Conoco. In 1974 Conoco succeeded to discover the Udang oil field and AGIP discovered Anoa oil field. Belanak field was then discovered by Conoco in 1975. In 1980s, Conoco discovered some more significant oil fields such as Ikan Pari (1983), Forel (1984) and Belida (1989), and also gas fields such as Bawal (1979) and Tembang (1981). Several other discoveries were made by other companies in the Kakap Block and Natuna Sea Block "A" during the period of 1980s up to 1990s. The most recent one is the Pelikan gas field, which was drilled by Premier Oil in 1999.

        Reservoir rocks in the area are mainly the sandstones of Gabus and Arang, and the limestones of Terumbu Formations. Oil is usually found in Gabus and gas in Arang sandstones. The source rock for oil is mainly from the shales of Benua Formation. The gas is mainly biogenic, generated in the Arang Formation. The Keras and Barat Formation act as excellent seals over the Lower and Upper Gabus Formations respectively. In the Arang Formation, the seals are intraformational. The traps in the West Natuna Basin are mostly structural, in the form of inverted anticlines (Figure 5) and wrench-faulted structures. In the East Natuna Basin traps are mainly present in the form of stratigraphic traps such as reefal buildups (Figure 6) or structural traps such as drapes over basement high.

        Anoa, Belida and Kakap Fields are the three most prolific oil producer in the West Natuna Basin. The extraordinary thing about the oil produced from these fields is its high quality, which can reach 46-49API, fetching good prices in the market.

        EXXONMOBIL WINS LARGE GAS FIELD CONTRACT IN INDONESIA

        [QUOTE]Asia Pulse

        December 6, 2010

        Indonesian state oil and gas company Pertamina has selected ExxonMobil as its partner to develop the Natuna (D-Alpha) Field in th

      • 家园 别当真,事情没那么快。

        印尼做事有句话:patient, patient, patient.

        能赚钱的项目它自然会赚钱;运作不起来的项目它自然玩不转;该亏钱的项目本钱亏完了自然不会再亏。不必担忧。

      • 家园 increase China's defence

        My personal opinion, the best way to protect those assets is to further increase China's defence capacity, especially the navy and the air force. I am glad to see a real arm race between China & US and I am pretty sure this time US will be worn down. They have won the previous one because Russia has a much smaller population. They won’t be so lucky this time.

        For overseas Chinese, the easiest way to help our mother country is to buy shares of China's defence industry in Shanghai or Shenzhen's stock market. I believe our patriotism will be repaid by decent financial reward as well.

        Without the deterrence provided by an all-mighty PLA, overseas Chinese’s wealth is always extremely vulnerable, especially in those developing countries with huge income inequality.

      • 家园 印尼99年开始有一个民主化进程

        我也不知道具体情况,但目前许多(西方)人认为印尼的民主在宪政、民族和谐、经济发展等方面,表现相对不错。如果你对印尼的印象基本停留在苏加诺、苏哈托、排华骚乱,也许应该更新一下了。

      • 家园 如果有足够强大的经济利益,就会有相应的武力支持

        所以中国必然走向帝国主义


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        • 家园 这个推论不成立吧

          帝国主义是什么?炮舰政策?我不认为中国会走到那一步,也不需要走到那一步,炮舰的使用不在于压服当地政府和民众,这只会败坏中国的形象,激起广泛的批评和反抗,而在于威慑和抵御红眼病和酸葡萄可能进行的干涉。

    • 家园 老忙,咱们什么时候和印尼这么好了

      而不是和菲律宾或者大马,我知道的情况是凡是中资企业去印尼的都有当地政府保护的,印尼那块很多人奇懒,日本人韩国人没有获得我们那么多的机会,这是好事么?

      • 家园 印尼感觉好多年前就开始布局了

        以前看过4台的一个节目,就是报道中国派往印尼的教中文的志愿者。好像是07年拍摄的,记得看到有个是说03还是04年就过去了。而且看到那边学中文的清一色的全是印尼mm。当时就觉得tg这局布的很nb啊,赤裸裸的输出价值观,还直接输出到未来的母亲们上面。

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