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主题:煮酒论雄(28):RMBs -- 本嘉明

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                • 家园 a TG made 单色谱世界

                  this piece may be worth of coping it here again, and sorry for violating the rule of ccthere.com.

                  中印人海战术: 山寨USA, and the possible USA strategy

                  1.

                  it is obviously challenging to US, such as india 山寨 us pharmaceutical, and it really hurts US pharmaceutical's R&D incentives & its business models;

                  山寨 as some form of knowledge/technology transfer is almost "legal", regardless, and very difficult if not impossible to stop;

                  fundamentally and long term, as 大山猫 commented on this 長尾理論, it is really in the 長尾 world where USA hangs on in terms of keeping its leadership position.

                  Asian in general and Chinese in particular, are not a 長尾 society, in terms of thinking, mentality and culture, etc.

                  the long tail concept: for example, in china, you are largely either 毛左 or 公知 when looking at world, in reality & particularly outside of china, the much bigger "volume/profit" and more colorful world is in the long tail, where 毛左=0 & 公知=0, how can Chinese "井底之蛙" of "either 毛左 or 公知" 看见 and 明白这个"长尾世界"?

                  it is very challenging for a nation of almost 单色谱 (reinforced by TG's brainwashing) to comprehend a 广色谱 outside world, and to innovate and to produce for the long tail world of 广色谱 is even more challenging

                  2.

                  "就長尾理論示意圖來看,圖表縱軸為「人气」,圖表橫軸為「產品」。該理論分析讀出,商業經營者應該反向思考,不再只是集中精神於前百分之20的主要產品內容,而是應該注意百分之80的「長尾巴」。簡言之,企業應思考怎樣提供一個將不同種類商品集合成大市場的平台,而這解決方法最好方式就是提供Web2.0相關的網路平台。該分析也指出滿足開發中國家與未開發國家眾多人口的商品需求亦也可能創造巨大利潤與商業規模,但關鍵在於是否能夠利用網路科技來營造幾乎無庫存成本的世界,否則實際執行仍有利基市場過小,商品過多種類的問題"

                  obviously, with google, fb, amazon, etc, USA has already almost "monopolized" 長尾 commerce platform, "lnkd" on human talents, "nflx" on entertainment.

                  3.

                  potentially & theoretically, these 長尾 companies with emerging AI technology can even model, manipulate or influence significantly 意识形态 or opinion formation of the people to some extent, or likely us "nsa" is already doing research in that direction, to face the long term challenge of 中印人海战术, on top of white's traditional trick of dividing "yellow" and conquering, etc

                  4

                  possible future AI/internet warfare: white vs. yellow

                  again theoretically, given the 单色谱"特征" of Chinese people (中's mind 色谱 much more "单色" than 印's 色谱,印 has some kind of 广色谱 due to its religions), one could naturally ask the following questions:

                  If TG can basically manipulate the mind of Chinese people, can USA/CIA/NSA make/山寨 a TG internet copy, then 以假乱真, 假共乱真共, making Chinese people confused, 大量消耗 their brain 热力学能, maximizing their brain "entropy", making their brain eventually 过劳/"overheat" and stop working? etc.

                  basically, it is a lot of easier to figure out and "attack" a system with 单色谱"特征" (human mind=likely some kind of "量子力学+热力学" system), vs. a system of 广色谱.

                  Can TG understand the potential problem/danger of 锁定/keeping Chinese peoples mind in an artificially TG made 单色谱 world of 意识形态 & 文化?

                  never say never.

                • 家园 TPP所代表的“新美国主义”=新进化论, kind of

                  新进化=dynamically shaking out players, with capital/energy to be re-allocated more efficiently, a very brutal/"try by error" way for humanity of capitalism.

                  losers are not going to really "buried alive" in today's much more civilized (as a result of much more balanced distribution of nuclear power, obviously) world, they are just going to become "党外群众"国家, 打工赚小钱 for winners as "党领导"国家 making big money.

                  • 家园 有效配置是否只是老美的借口

                    肯定还有其他用意

                    • 家园 一旦得手, 往死里打, 给全世界当典型

                      kind of like the way Japan got treated, by US, but again, today's world=a nuclear weapon equilibrium world, no more "hot" war.

                      经典战略战术, 杀气腾腾, 歼灭战歼灭人心.

                      and we all know how Mao treated his political prisoners like Liu and Lin.

                      you have to do it that way, period, no mercy.

                      now days, 往死里打=make you work much harder, making much less $.

                      • 家园 经济战也是心理战

                        那我们该怎么办?目前的战略是否得当?

                        • 家园 四平八稳一点

                          就是:既不鸟7%,也不鸟TPP。两边都取其精华,去其糟粕。

                          不鸟7%,就是除了那些“长远的国计民生效益确实明显”的基建项目,其他能缓建则缓建,劳动人口失业就拿低保(暂时建立一个全国失业保障金暂行制度,先管3年);从国外套一些资金回来,充实银行。

                          不鸟TPP,就是“上海自贸区”继续办,但不设时间表,阻力消除了条件成熟了就跨一步,不要受TPP进程的牵制。

                          • 家园 磨洋工=最好,最不可行

                            1.

                            TG/china Inc. is on 春药上瘾 path

                            7%=not 春药 anymore

                            so, TPP=春药/I改革2

                            then 土地流转=春药/I改革3..

                            then...

                            2.

                            "曾在天津当过兵的美军“知华派”名将Ridgway刚上任第8集团军司令,通过分析战斗记录,敏锐地察觉了中国军队的弱点,那就是他总结出来的所谓“礼拜攻势”。因为后勤薄弱,中国军队的持续攻势不会超过一个礼拜,Ridgway找到了反击中国军队攻势的有效方法,那就是节节阻击防御一周,然后投入重兵反击。"

                            3.

                            磨洋工=最好,最不可行

                            what to do?

                            because TG/china is already on 春药上瘾 path, almost passed the point of no return, DR L: let swap TG 春药 into "USA洋春药+TG春药"=joint venture/和平演变...

                            4.

                            Uncle Sam, well, if you TG guys want to come over and settle in my backyard....

            • 家园 我也认同这个是未来的方向

              这个“争”,不是“征服”,不是夺取“生存空间”,不是屠杀劫掠,而是把中国传统文化“仁者爱人”的精神,传播到世界各地;把“全球集体主义”和“顺服大义牺牲小我”的精神,传播到世界各地,以后各民族都不要那么自私和顽固,大家忍耐一点,一起做一些“止戈倡义”,与邻为善的事------比如计划生育------从而把地球上多样的文明,和平地传续下去。这种“上善若水”的思想的传播,可不比当年西方传教士的工作难度小,连我们中国人自己,我看也没有准备好。

      • RMBs-2
        家园 Pics are all dead.

        No Pics no happiness. Please reload them, much appreciated. Paid flower already.

        • 家园 我在尝试一个新形式

          <茗谈>会专注于西方文史和“西方在华传教/教育史”,兼及“热点地区(如以色列)史”,基本不再谈时事。但这个要治学而少匠气,尤其费力。

          现在,长篇的写得不那么频繁了,所以我把原来做<煮酒论雄>的经验,和微博(140字限制)的特点,以及我喜欢收集摆弄照片的习惯结合起来,以“四格漫画”的方式,继续写<煮酒论雄>,希望大家捧场。

          这个其实也很费时间,因为构思好文字稿后再收集合用的照片,不那么容易,好在国外没有绿坝。当然我也向党中央保证,一定自律,不给省宣前沿们添麻烦。

      • RMBs-2
        家园 这是转型了?

        不写茗谈了?

      • RMBs-2
        家园 李嘉诚不要RMB与投行共进退

        这厮黑幕很多,不维护和发展开放型世界经济,老本给分析分析

        • 家园 香港潮汕帮的内幕,错综复杂

          涉及到广东官场潮汕帮和客家帮的争权;面对省港合流,汪督当年衔命南下的艰巨;乃至“黄光裕”案。

          潮汕帮是全球性问题(海外洪门),不单是中国境内的问题。当然潮汕内部各巨头,纷争也很残酷。

          本届特首出炉前,李皇帝(香港隐帝)是公开挺唐英年的。当时为挺唐,撂下狠话的老财不止他一个。既然夺嫡失败,履行诺言撤点资是必须的,否则谁还当你是大老虎?再说狡兔三窟,免得有人秋后算帐,请你去山东吃鸭蛋。当然,敢于公开挺唐干预决策,而不是乖乖坐等朝廷金瓶擎签,然后照例欢呼,个中已经说明很多问题了。

          总之,此事我不懂的。

      • RMBs-2
        家园 送花成功。感谢:作者获得通宝一枚。
      • RMBs-2
        家园 造福广大人民群众啊
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