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主题:【原创】“奥德赛的黎明” -- 种植园土

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家园 保家为国的话

不嫌我老,我愿意去的,别让孩子们去了

家园 怎么能肯定毛子有

把握上校能死缠到底?如果被联军三两下给收拾了,什么油了,汽了,数钱了,偷乐了,不全成泡影?

家园 看普世国进攻利比亚,就三个印象

1、打着保护平民的幌子干涉人家内政,现在连遮羞布不够大都不在乎了。

2、英法实在是江河日下(在我看来比日本不如),一看日本有核辐射那是拔腿就跑,然后就只敢拿个家门口的三流国家来耍威风,标准纸老虎。战机出动,摧毁利比亚军车一辆,胜利返航。。。

3、当今法国总统,这个政治智慧,比那些“流氓国家”的头头愣是差了一大截。他跟意大利的总理一样,就是个JOKE。看卡扎菲儿子的喊话我就忍不住笑:“小丑,把那笔钱还给利比亚人民!”

家园 阿盟批评禁飞区,警惕美帝新技俩

阿拉伯国家联盟秘书长阿姆鲁·穆萨(Amr Moussa)批评说:实施禁飞区的目标是避免伤害平民,但现在的空袭造成了更多的平民伤害。

正如此前利比亚系列分析的,置卡扎菲不管,将短期内足以严重损害美帝在中东的战略利益。奥巴马政府不是看不到这一点,而是采取了更曲折隐蔽的间接策略。即威逼利诱阿盟支持禁飞区,美欧+阿盟联手压服其余安理会国家,然后由英法出面执行。

即便仅有美帝支持,中国行使否决权可能性也不大,阿盟出面之后,中国就更不可能行使否决权了--中国石油进口很大部分来自沙特。

现在看起来,美帝胃口、牙口好得很呢。短期内,奥巴马的阿拉伯民主化会在形式上获得进展。而且这种民主化在美帝强盛的时代,都不会显得过于绿化--人家穆斯林兄弟会已经公开表态不参选么。

但是人家兄弟会在等待时机。10年,20年,30年人家等得起。人家的目标是把世俗国家转化为回教法国家--这么浩大且不可逆的工程,人家可以失败1000次,还活蹦乱跳,而他们的对手只要失败1次,就彻底歇菜了。

短期谁也争不过美国。

时间本来在中国方面--如果没有计划生育政策的话。现在时间是对中国最不利的因素。中国经济政策、人口结构处处学日本。想避免日本的下场,不亦难乎?

现在看来,由于劳动力不足,中国迟早会爆发实体经济危机(不考虑金融危机--金融危机是可以修复的)。只要60后开始退休,养老危机就会爆发(养老保险体系现在已入不敷出了);70后退休,实体经济彻底垮掉,同时民族生存危机爆发。少民新一代长大,而此时美国衰落,那么绿色国家核武大概会泛滥了。如果他们从国外偷偷运来几枚核地雷,埋藏在中国北京上海广州等若干大城市,同时引爆,你敢对所有绿色国家宣战吗?如果人家说是你国内的内乱分子偷了你国内的核武器造成的后果呢?即便宣战,你有几个兵可用呢?对于这种威胁,弹道导弹防御系统有啥用呢?

四月将近,看中国人口普查结果如何。现在计生委已理屈词穷了,采用了无耻、无理由的拖延策略--多拖一天即多罚款一天。但是,拖延将使1970-75这一大批人丧生最后的生育机会--这些人经济状况是比较好的,生育是承担得起的。

中国的精英移民在加速。官员也好,企业主也好,中产也好,能逃的都想逃。

中国汉族人的后代出生已减少75%(由顶峰的3000万/年减少至800万/年)的中国,需要何等的无耻和无知才能继续执行计划生育政策。人类历史上从来没有一个社会敢于推行这么悖天理,违人伦的政策,今后也不会有。

上天有好生之德,凡是倒霉事,都让日本人先体验一遍。但奈何中国的精英不领悟!

祸至无日矣!

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - Western forces pounded Libya's air defences and patrolled its skies on Sunday, but their day-old intervention hit a serious diplomatic setback as the Arab League chief condemned the "bombardment of civilians."

Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi vowed to defeat the Western powers' "terrorism" and sent his troops and tanks into the rebel-held coastal city of Misrata, residents said.

European and U.S. forces unleashed warplanes and cruise missiles against Gaddafi on Saturday in a United Nations-backed intervention to prevent the veteran leader from killing civilians as he fights an uprising against his 41-year rule.

But Arab League chief Amr Moussa said what was happening was not what Arabs had envisaged when they called for the imposition of a no-fly zone over Libya.

"What is happening in Libya differs from the aim of imposing a no-fly zone, and what we want is the protection of civilians and not the bombardment of more civilians," he said.

In comments carried by Egypt's official state news agency, Moussa also said he was calling for an emergency Arab League meeting.

Arab backing for a no-fly zone provided crucial underpinning for the passage of the U.N. Security Council resolution last week that paved the way for the Western intervention, the biggest against an Arab country since the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

Withdrawal of that support would make it much harder to pursue what some defense analysts say could in any case be a difficult, open-ended campaign with an uncertain outcome.

The U.S. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Mike Mullen, said the no-fly zone was effectively in place. But he told CBS the endgame of military action was "very uncertain" and acknowledged it could end in a stalemate with Gaddafi.

Mullen said he had seen no reports of civilian casualties from the Western strikes. But Russia said there had been such casualties and called on Britain, France and the United States to halt the "non-selective use of force."

The aerial assault stopped in its tracks the advance by Gaddafi's troops into the eastern city of Benghazi, and left the burned and shattered remains of his tanks and troop carriers littering the main road outside the rebel stronghold.

The charred bodies of at least 14 government soldiers lay scattered in the desert.

"Gaddafi is like a chicken and the coalition is plucking his feathers so he can't fly. The revolutionaries will slit his neck," said Fathi Bin Saud, a 52-year-old rebel carrying a rocket-propelled grenade launcher, surveying the wreckage.

Gaddafi said the raids amounted to terrorism and vowed to fight to the death. "We will not leave our land and we will liberate it," he said on state television. "We will remain alive and you will all die."

A Libyan government health official said the death toll from the Western air strikes had risen to 64 on Sunday after some of the wounded died. But it was impossible to independently verify the reports as government minders refused to take Western reporters in the capital Tripoli to the site of the bombings.

Residents said forces loyal to Gaddafi entered the center of the rebel-held city of Misrata on Sunday with tanks, and several people had been killed by gunfire. "Two people were killed so far today by snipers. They (snipers) are still on the rooftops. They are backed with four tanks, which have been patrolling the town. It's getting very difficult for people to come out," one resident, called Sami, told Reuters by telephone.

"There are also boats encircling the port and preventing aid from reaching the town."

Abdelbasset, a spokesman for the rebels in Misrata, told Reuters: "There is fighting between the rebels and Gaddafi's forces. Their tanks are in the center of Misrata ... There are so many casualties we cannot count them."

"ODYSSEY DAWN"

French planes fired the first shots of the intervention on Saturday, destroying tanks and armored vehicles near Benghazi. The eastern city is the cradle of the anti-Gaddafi revolt that started last month, inspired by Arab uprisings that toppled the leaders of Tunisia and Egypt.

France sent an aircraft carrier toward Libya and its planes were over the country again on Sunday, defense officials said. Britain said its planes had targeted Libya's air defences mainly around the capital Tripoli.

U.S. and British warships and submarines launched 110 Tomahawk missiles overnight against air defences around the capital Tripoli and Misrata, U.S. military officials said.

They said U.S. forces and planes were working with Britain, France, Canada and Italy in operation "Odyssey Dawn." Denmark said it had four fighter planes ready to join in on Sunday and was awaiting U.S. instructions.

Gaddafi said all Libyans had now been armed to defend the country and Western defeat was inevitable. Libya's state news agency said more than a million men and women would be armed.

China and Russia, which abstained in the U.N. Security Council vote last week endorsing intervention, expressed regret at the military action. China's Foreign Ministry said it hoped the conflict would not lead to a greater loss of civilian life.

Explosions and heavy anti-aircraft fire rattled Tripoli in the early hours of Sunday. Defiant cries of "Allahu Akbar" (God is Greatest) echoed around the city center.

Libyan state television showed footage from an unidentified hospital of what it called victims of the "colonial enemy." Ten bodies were wrapped up in white and blue bed sheets, and several people were wounded, one of them badly, the television said.

The mood in Tripoli turned markedly anti-Western, and crowds shouted defiant slogans and shot in the air.

APPREHENSION AND RELIEF

Tripoli residents said they had heard an explosion near the eastern Tajoura district, while in Misrata they said strikes had targeted an airbase used by Gaddafi's forces.

The Western intervention, after weeks of diplomatic wrangling, was welcomed in Benghazi with a mix of apprehension and relief.

"We salute France, Britain, the United States and the Arab countries for standing with Libya. But we think Gaddafi will take out his anger on civilians. So the West has to hit him hard," said civil servant Khalid al-Ghurfaly, 38.

Benghazi's main hospital was filled with men, women and children wounded in Saturday's assault on the city by Gaddafi's forces. There were 24 bodies, including eight government troops, visible in the morgue, and more were stored in refrigerators.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy said the allies had agreed to use "all necessary means, especially military" to enforce the Security Council resolution for an end to attacks on civilians.

Some analysts have questioned the strategy for the military intervention, fearing Western forces might be sucked into a long civil war despite a U.S. insistence, repeated on Saturday, that it has no plans to send ground troops into Libya.

(Reporting by Mohammed Abbas and Angus MacSwan in Benghazi, Maria Golovnina and Michael Georgy in Tripoli, Hamid Ould Ahmed and Christian Lowe in Algiers; Tom Perry in Cairo, John Irish and Elizabeth Pineau in Paris, Missy Ryan in Washington, Writing by Mark Trevelyan and Jon Hemming)

通宝推:大黄,上善若水,五陵年少,老马丁,廣雅疏證,做回自己,腾格里,李根,
家园 请问以后装甲车上是不是装上轮椅装置呀?

飞行员的仪表面板改用大号字体?

产品设计呢?手机产品3个月更新一代,让70岁的设计师去加班?

家园 少发梦了。那是十年前。

现在兵员招不满,缺额大了去了。

军队代表已经把这个问题提出来了。

家园 只要不是体制内的,生了再说。体制内的想办法规避
家园 是啊,独生政策乃上下五千年第一脑残政策

深表怀疑是不是有别有用心之徒陷害中国。

最糟糕的是培植起了计生委这个既得利益组织。

更糟糕的是,生育观念被扭曲了。社会上有很多人支持独生政策的,他们总是抱怨人太多,却不愿意去人少的地方生活,目前,中国人少的地方多得是,可他们就是要在人多的大都市生活,还抱怨人多。这些人总是说,那么多超生的,还是要狠狠抓,否则人太多。

难道他们不知道,如今不孕不育的人也很多吗?

家园 计划生育在农村的执行并不是一胎化原则

一般来说,第一胎是女孩的话,都可以接着生。

家园 计划生育已经够脑残了。

计划生育已经够脑残了,而计划生育和中国民族政策的产物最终会葬送中国,正所谓成也萧何败也萧何,GCD领导人民革命并领导了中国的工业化进程,可最终它脑残的民族和生育政策也最终会葬送中国.一个五胡乱华的时代最终会重新降临中国。

另外,我觉得计生委的既得利益还算好的,真正危险的既得利益集团是民族政策下的少数民族。

家园 园土兄

我能不能提个建议。

非常喜欢你的文章,尤其是这次的中东“革命”,你的介绍和分析是河里最及时和全面的。我也支持你关于计划生育的态度,希望政府修改计划生育政策,一视同仁。我认为很多人在上次计划生育的帖子里对你的围攻有点自说自话的意思。我也排斥绿教。

不过我想建议,园土兄能不能不在几乎每一篇有关中东的文章中都要提到一段中国的计划生育啊。容易让人审美疲劳。谢谢。

家园 “十一五”和“十二五”人口政策对比

链接出处

家园 仿效古罗马的加图

他每次讲完话--不管在元老院还是茶余饭后还是婚礼祝词--都要加一句:

迦太基必须灭亡!

加图是对的。罗马的霸业正是在灭亡迦太基的基础上建立的。

房价、分配不均、腐败,都是历史上常有的现象。中国其实是可以应对的。

现在政府把70%的精力由于关注房价,那么就是把精力用于一件重要但非最关键的事务上。

但是5000年来,只有现在的中国实施计划生育,如果是错的,后果可想而知。历史上人口萎缩的国家,没有一个不剧烈衰弱乃至灭亡的。

所以,我可以不说话,可以只潜水。但如果说话,就必谈计划生育。除了反计划生育,我没有其它带倾向的政治观点。如果产生审美疲劳,或者如果不喜欢计划生育部分,可以跳过去这些话阅读--似乎不影响文章原意。

通宝推:西风之哀,letmein,SleepingBeauty,上善若水,潜水龙,李根,
家园 之前哦时尚媒体的主流调调都是美帝没落了,不行了,

战略收缩了,……。不晓得哪来的那种“自信”?

大概关着门坐在显示器前敲键盘来得吧,呵呵。

家园 计生委会阻挠放开生育,近期危害更大
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