主题：remote viewer and FBI psychic investigator -- simplyred

没有早期的成功，CIA根本不会立项遥视计划

We concluded that:

The experimental research conducted as part of the current program does not unambiguously support the interpretation of the results in terms of a paranormal phenomenon.

Failure to provide evidence that independent judges arrive at similar conclusions makes it difficult to unambiguously determine whether the observed effects can be attributed to the remote viewers' (paranormal) ability, to the ability of the judge to interpret ambiguous information, or to the combination or interaction of the viewers and the judge. Furthermore, given the Principal Investigator's familiarity with the viewers, the target set, and the experimental procedures, it is possible that subtle, unintentional factors may have influenced the results obtained in these studies. Thus, until it can be shown that independent judges agree, and similar effects are obtained in studies using independent judges, it cannot be said that adequate evidence has been provided for existence of the remote viewing phenomenon.

Our conclusion is that at this juncture it would be premature to assume that we have a convincing demonstration of a paranormal phenomenon. In fact, until a plausible causal mechanism has been identified, and competing explanations carefully investigated, we cannot interpret the set of anomalous observations localized to one laboratory with one set of methods. Given these observations, and the methodological problems noted above, we must conclude that:

Adequate experimental and theoretical evidence for the existence of remote viewing as a parapsychological phenomenon has not been provided by the research component of current program. A significant change in focus and methods would be necessary to justify additional laboratory research within the current program.

This is not to say definitively that paranormal phenomena do not exist. At some point in time, adequate evidence might be provided for the existence of remote viewing. With this point in mind, we considered the potential applications of remote viewing in intelligence gathering.

The first consideration involves the conditions under which remote viewing occurs and if those conditions constrain its application for intelligence purposes. Prior research suggests that distance is not a constraint and, indeed, that a sender or "beacon" may not be necessary. However, other characteristics of intelligence gathering indicate that remote viewing is of little value. Intelligence operations do not provide targets of a fixed bandwidth; rather, targets and target types are highly variable. Moreover, the apparent necessity for feedback to the remote viewers would preclude its use in intelligence gathering operations. Finally, intelligence information is most valuable if it is concrete and specific, and reliably interpretable. Unfortunately, the research conducted to date indicates that the remote viewing phenomenon fails to meet those preconditions. Therefore, we conclude that:

Remote viewing, as exemplified by the efforts in the current program, has not been shown to have value in intelligence operations.

This point was also graphically illustrated in the user interviews, where it was found that remote viewings have never provided an adequate basis for "actionable" intelligence operations -- that is, information sufficiently valuable or compelling so that action was taken as a result. If a phenomenon does not contribute to intelligence operations, it is difficult to see what justification exists for its continued application. This is particularly true in the case of remote viewing, where a large amount of irrelevant, erroneous information is provided and little agreement is observed among viewers' reports.

Particularly troublesome from the perspective of the application of paranormal phenomena is the fact that the remote viewers and project managers reported that remote viewing reports were changed to make them consistent with known background cues. While this was appropriate in that situation, it makes it impossible to interpret the role of the paranormal phenomenon independently. Also, it raises some doubts about some well publicized cases of dramatic hits, which, if taken at face value, could not easily be attributed to background cues. In at least some of these cases, there is reason to suspect, based on both subsequent investigations and the viewers' statement that reports had been "changed" by previous program managers, that substantially more background information was available than one might at first assume. Give these observations, it is difficult to argue that available evidence justifies application of remote viewing in intelligence operations.

In summary, two clear-out conclusion emerge from our examination of the operational component of the current program. First, as stated above, evidence for the operational value of remote viewing is not available, even after a decade of attempts. Second, it is unlikely that remote viewing -- as currently understood -- even if its existence can be unequivocally demonstrated, will prove of any use in intelligence gathering due to the conditions and constraints applying in intelligence operations and the suspected characteristics of the phenomenon. We conclude that:

Continued support for the operational component of the current program is not justified.

1988年间，何祚庥院士率领几个魔术师亲自测试了张宝胜的“药片穿瓶”及“透视信封内文字”的能力，结果两个小时内药片穿瓶的实验没有成功；“透视力”实验则当场拆穿张宝胜作弊。因此文章下了一个结论：张宝胜所有特异功能都是假的。

真是这样吗？举一个简单的例子：“睡觉”这是每个人都会的，然而要你当著许多陌生人面前，在众目睽睽之下表演睡觉，而且要在一定时间内马上入睡，成功的例子可能不多。如果由于有一次不能成功入睡，就判断你不会睡觉，或者下个结论说人类根本没有睡觉这样的功能，这不是太失之武断了吗？ [衲注:精辟!]

但是这些特异功能人士为什么偶尔要作弊呢？又怎么保证他所做成功的实验不是作弊的呢？这和功能人的心态有关。功能人大部份知识水准不高，比如张宝胜小学都没有毕业，他能享有大名被奉为国宝级人物就是靠他这项特殊能力，因此他心态上总认为每次实验都要成功，才能保持他国宝的声誉，而不能理解科学上只要成功一次就是了不起的大事，而作弊一次则将令名誉扫地。

正由于此种能力不可思议，国务院有个11人的人体科学工作小组，专门领导这方面的研究，每年拨款约一百万人民币，分给全大陆各人体科学研究所。这个小组成员包括有国家体委主任、科委常务副主任、卫生部部长、安全部部长、中宣部副部长、财政部副部长、公安部副部长、军委总政联络部部长、武警部副司令员等正副部长级人物，每年举行一次汇报，了解及掌握人体科学研究之进展，表示中央对此领域之重视. [衲注: 给反"伪"人士, 别告诉我从来没有这样的工作小组,别告诉我中央领导都是傻子.]

1982年4月中国人体科学研究会向全大陆几所大学和研究所发出邀请，组织了一次联合测试来验证人体特异功能的真实性。结果共有20多个单位、40多位研究人员参加了这项工作。实验的条件非常严格, 所得的结果具有可重覆性。结果表明，人体特异视觉、特异运转、特异书写、突破空间障碍等人体特异致动功能，都是客观存在的。

而不能理解科学上只要成功一次就是了不起的大事，而作弊一次则将令名誉扫地

谁知道修饰的东西有多少，歪曲的东西有多少，谎话有多少，反正我是信不过的。我没有精力和兴趣去调查这位校长先生，寻找各种证据去打他的假

１９１２年，一支阿根廷日蚀远征队开到巴西，计划检验光的弯曲度，因为天下雨取消了试验。

１９１８年６月，一位美国人对日蚀的观察也没有得到任何结果。

一直到１９１９年５月，两个英国远征队才获得第一批有用途的照片。

[爱丁顿冲洗出照片]黑暗的太阳是白色的，明亮的日冕、日珥是黑色的。那一片灰色的背景，就是天空。有没有黑点呢？没有。黑点就是星光。可是没有黑点，一个黑点也没有。 第一夜，第二夜，第三夜……一直找不到黑点。

到最后两三夜，底片的那层灰色天幕上，似乎出现了一些黑点。可是非常模糊，若有若无。爱丁顿把这几张有黑点的底片，和格林尼治天文台拍的夜空里的金牛座的照片比较。不行！这些星星太模糊，而且离太阳太远，比较不出结果来。最后，终于出现了一张底片，灰色的天幕上，紧挨着太阳，有几个非常清晰的黑点。

去索布腊尔的远征队早回来了。他们拍的照片之中，有些也模糊不清，但是有七张，和爱丁顿的那一张是一致的。爱丁顿经过反复计算、核对，排除一切误差、干扰，最后他完全有把握了：日全蚀的观测，精确地证实了爱因斯坦的广义相对论。

正由于此种能力不可思议，国务院有个11人的人体科学工作小组，专门领导这方面的研究，每年拨款约一百万人民币，分给全大陆各人体科学研究所。这个小组成员包括有国家体委主任、科委常务副主任、卫生部部长、安全部部长、中宣部副部长、财政部副部长、公安部副部长、军委总政联络部部长、武警部副司令员等正副部长级人物，每年举行一次汇报，了解及掌握人体科学研究之进展，表示中央对此领域之重视.

[衲注: 给反"伪"人士, 别告诉我从来没有这样的工作小组,别告诉我中央领导都是傻子.]

想起当年大放卫星的时候啊。。。。。。嗯，嗯