主题:关于最近的加税 -- MRandson
the guilt is established on proofs beyond a reasonable doubt.
Here are the facts, independently verifiable, and undisputed facts:
1.By Chinese regulation, individual investors and foreign institutional investors are allowed to participate in B share. Domestic institutional investors are not allowed.
2.B-share index topped at 5/21/2007. The next day a sharp decline started, 19% was lost in 3 trading days. Many stocks (>50%) dropped without a rebound. During the same period, A-share kept moving up.
3.Prior to 5/22/2007, the last time B-shares dropped significantly without A-shares doing the same was 2005/07, and at that time, both markets were bottoming. So 5/22/2007 was the ONLY TIME B-shares moved down ALONE in this bull market.
4.After close of market on 5/22/2007, the Chinese ministry of finance denied rumor that stamp duty was to be increased.
5.On 5/30/2007, the increase of stamp duty was announced and the A-share debacle started.
Here are the assumptions, which I consider reasonable to assume, but hard to prove:
1.Foreign insitutional investors in B-share are closely connected with managers of hot money in A-share.
What hypothesis will you have? with these facts and assumptions.
- 相关回复 上下关系8
🙂是 请尽量 字0 2007-06-14 23:08:23
🙂B股只有外资庄家 2 uphere 字201 2007-06-04 13:02:05
😥能退出这结论吗? 能否说的具体些呢 水中石 字6 2007-06-06 07:05:48
🙂there is no absolute certainty
😄花赞 严重花赞 1 水中石 字60 2007-06-06 21:42:41
🙂热钱不是干B股,是换成人民币干A股 1 MRandson 字136 2007-06-04 20:58:40
🙂重点是外资在加税前有近两周的时间撤退 1 uphere 字318 2007-06-04 21:43:22
🙂投资银行今年开局极旺 1 咪铛 字905 2007-06-06 01:10:45