主题：【原创】“中国崩溃论”屡屡崩溃的根本原因 -- 比的原理

新中国所构建的上层建筑是超越其经济基础，生产关系领先于生产力的结果就是实际经济生活中产生各种碰撞，不过中国人民足够伟大，硬是把这套体系运行起来，并且在运行的过程中不断使两者相适应，具体的表现就是生产力不断上升，生产关系不断倒退。

这种生产关系的倒退是大家对TG不满的主因，可是这实际上面是适应生产力的过程，是历史发展的必然。不过这有一个临界点，那就是生产力的发展已经跟生产关系相适应，生产关系的倒退将失去动力，而且随着生产力的发展，要求生产关系随之进步而不是如同过去一般倒退。

我认为这个临界点十分接近甚至可能已经到来，可是任何事物都不可能一帆风顺，过去的生产关系倒退有其自身的惯性，那就是从中获利的利益集团，现在主要的矛盾在于发展起来的生产力要求的生产关系进步与利益集团为了自身利益要求的生产关系倒退之间的矛盾。

中国干什么产业，世界上对应的什么产品就掉价，一旦中国挖掉社会主义的根，搞资本主义， 资本主义就要灭亡！！！

“中国模式的终点就是没有国有资源可以出卖了”应该说过去的中国模式好像的确如此。

按照这个逻辑的话，必须有东西卖才能持续下去。所以你对混改的抵触可能有点非理性。因为如果不混改的话，现在就没有东西卖了，现在就要爆发危机了，几十年和平时光现在就会到尽头。

如果混改一下，拖一下时间，在这个时间里转换发展模式，如果转型成功，那么和平时光还是可以继续下去的。如果转型失败就算发生危机，至少也拖了一段时间，多过几天和平时光也不算亏。

比较两条路，显然后一条路还有一线生机。

first of all, just read many of your excellent writings, some of them very helpful in terms of understanding 中国模式, a brain challenging task, if not a brain damaging ordeal.

sorry to type in English, and I hope this post is not going to offend people, buy my posts always offend many people, many of them being Tg's propaganda troops.

by the way and as a disclaimer, this kind of "social science" is very hard, and I really don't know.

but "political social science" is a very profitable business, and in china in particular, so it is worth trying to understand it.

Uncle Sam's version of "political social science" is kind of in Wall Street, all proprietary, just like TG's "model": they are telling nobody how do they make so much money(:) with their models, everyday.

1.

中国模式

and politically,

as you said:

"TG怕的不是老外，甚至不是懂英语的小白，而是底层的劳工。国内的网站严防死守，你挪到外边，一样有GFW。让亿万劳工团不起来，就是沙子， 没有任何威胁了。"

economically

城镇化, according to ex-人大副委员长 成思危, its potential in terms of your 官办经济 model, will work until 2030 at least;

"hullo" described TG's model very well: basically you short (薄血利用) Chinese farmers ( it has been like that since day 1 of TG's "business model"), and with profit you make there from shorting Chinese farmers, you long (收買利用) middle class and elite of Chinese society, then you basically manage this GDP 永动机 business as a market maker in mainland china, with 毛林共识 as its core, and I wrote about it before.

毛林共识 has been working, and it will be working for at least another decades if not longer. 相对论方程一阶, for Chinese nation in particular.

US TPP is not going to be a big deal in terms of threatening TGchina's current model, 民粹主義 outside of TGchina is basically putting world economy into a zero growth phase;

and in that sense, TGchina's growth of at least another decade provides global "zero growth" economy with some badly needed 溫度, a huge contribution;

but, the tricky part: TGchina's model of "臭豆腐闻起来是臭的，可吃起来总是香的" basically give all the credit of Chinese nation's hard work to Uncle Sam, in many ways.

Uncle Sam

for the foreseeable future, US still provides unmatched leadership at the high end, for global system, in terms of almost everything else, as I said zillions time before;

for one thing: TG's model=只能做不能说, kind of why TG's ideology is full of brain damaging BS.

kind of why Chinese political elite is doing what they have been doing, because they know what is going on, and they are making tons of money out of it, atop their other "trading profits".

Still, overall, I think, "majority" of Chinese people supports TG for whatever reasons, then TG's model will work, even in terms of "ideology".

as to US, Uncle Sam will eventually work out some deal with TG, so everybody is happy.

2.

Now, Mao "model".

I know you and many of Chinese like Mao, thinking or trying to develop or grow "Maoism" into a new system for humanity beyond capitalism.

this is a very complicated topic, and it is way beyond even "3020", so I don't really care, and not many people care, not even TG top leadership;

but fundamentally and in brief: Maoism is a good 为人民服务 type of "宗教" to some degree, and it has been appealing to 人民 like many "宗教", particularly Chinese people who has been day dreaming about 好皇帝 for 5k year;

and by the way, this is one area of Chinese nation's fundamental weakness: lack of "mind day dreaming" for science, for ALGO or systems, but full of "heart enthusiasm" for 好人 BS. come on: we all need a good ALGO or good system as a model to understand the world and to grow in it, and 人 fundamentally is an social animal of dual nature, always: angel and evil, as such an animal, 人 has to be put into a system to develop its angel side and to contain its evil side.

true, this is kind of white's propaganda. Chinese's 天人合一 of social science is all different.

now, more about Mao:

but in terms of physics' "energy equation", the human economic and political system's final purpose is not really 为人民服务, the system's final objective is to find a way of relentless innovation and growth, economically and scientifically etc, for humanity to advance, for human civilization to grow out of earth system before it dies...

if it is not for that system purpose of innovaton and growth forever:

with the current 人类生产力, we can already to have a global

共产主义社会. we can afford that yesterday.

In that sense, Marxist Maoism is fundamentally "wrong": we can not have a 共产主义社会, and we will never have a one: it has nothing to do with 生產力, we just can not do it.

may be one day, when humanity finds a new home somewhere in the universe, and when looking back at "dark and disappearing" earth, we can have a few days of 共产主义社会 party, for a few "days", then humanity has to look for its next home in GR' or 广义相对论 universe as we know.

by the way, the following is a great piece:

changshou:几何直观地介绍广义相对论的时空以及大爆炸模型（0）分页第 ...

www.ccthere.com/topic/3659016/23

so, fundamentally Maoism or its various derivatives all have a logic issue, if it is not treated as an "宗教" .

to be brief and to be extremely speaking: Marxism and Mao kind of all put "为人民服务" objective/function above everything else, almost, when designing a system.

that system as we know, will run out of energy pretty soon.

again, the system's "gene"(basically physics) is not going to let that global 为人民服务共产主义社会 to happen, period.

but, politicians will use that to BS and manage most of their 人民, everywhere. they have to.

now, to some degree, the system has to 为人民服务 in a way, so there will be more leaders/innovators coming out of 人民, but most of 人民 are fundamentally 乾電池, and 乾電池 only, extremely speaking.

and in a dilemma facing today's human system: we are over supplied with 人民乾電池, almost everywhere.

what to do? omg(:).

3.

because of that most of "人民 are fundamentally 乾電池" issue, human system as a dissipative system has to perform its cleaning out function of 優勝劣敗 適者生存, because social-bio systems are fundamentally dissipative system nature, it has to constantly look for new energy for its survival, and growth, while dumping out its "system waste".

not only social bio systems are of dissipative system nature, many mesoscopic or quantum physics systems are of that dissipative system or intelligent/dynamic system nature as well such as "相变" system at macroscopic level or 分子馬達 of more of mesoscopic level , many of them are still to be understood and studied by physicists, vs Newton's classical and mostly macroscopic and 'static" physics system.

by the way, as we all know, Newton's classical and mostly macroscopic and 'static" physics system does not really care about 摩擦力/熱消耗 etc, because of many newton's systems are mechanical system of Marxist era of 工業革命, therefore "时间平移不变", "static". but now we have had a quantum physics for almost a century already

kind of a challenging issue for TGchina's economic model: how to handle the emerging, new and challenging mode of quantum or mesoscopic physics based, more environmentally helpful and information sensitive 生产方式 of modern capitalism's next phase?

vs TG's traditional business model of "淮海战役的胜利是人民群众用小车推出来的", almost since day 1.

kind of why TGchina can never lead the world with this kind of "臭豆腐" social economic model, however effective it may be, in terms of TGchina's GDP 7% forever.

of course, Europe or other regions are almost running out of any 豆腐, and TGchina's 臭豆腐 is much better than "zero 豆腐", period.

4.

Europe is actually much more of Maoist socialist type than everybody else, and it is deeply trapped in 民粹主義 , going no where.

an example:

dogs "eat" children in many European countries, but because of 人民民主專政 in Europe, nothing can be done, period, dogs still eat human children once a while.

5.

for various reasons, US system is still working, kind of 正面资本主义, and TGchina is some kind of 只能做不能说"资本主义", and everybody else are trapped somewhere between 人民民主專政 and white "民粹主義"

6.

now, in US, because of "over information", and some kind of confusion among US elite themselves, US is kind of "资本主义", 做得清说不清, and many BS in 说 part.

TGchina: I think (of course guessing) TG's top elite (therefore top elite of Chinese society) somehow know this "new ALGO of capitalism of peacefully fxxking 人民 in the name of 優勝劣敗 適者生存", and the way TG does it: it is doable only in mainland china.

So, TG has been and will be 内战内行 外战外行, period, in terms of fxxking 人民乾電池.

but of course you can't say that, just like white politicians telling all kinds of lies to get the votes, TG is brainwashing the whole Chinese nation with all kind of propaganda BS.

but that is the nature of system: you have to do it, do many "head fakes" to clean out those brainless folks, or do bad things for good purpose.

7.

if that is the "line of logic", TG under X will be keep going 打左灯向右转, and US will 打美国之音灯, going the way Uncle Sam is going now: because of US's too many systematic resources (such as energy independence, global focal points of human brains, etc), uncle sam has a lot of room to fxxk non-US or other nations' 人民乾電池.

of course, Uncle Sam is always trying to squeeze TGchina whenever and wherever possible.

but hey, because of china's gdp growth rate of 7% at least for another decade if not more, Uncle Sam has to cut a deal with TG, period.

there is no growth else where in this world: US 3% growth, tgchina about 6%, everywhere else: 0 if not negative.

no money(energy), no honey, no nothing. physics.

我们都是过来人。亲眼目睹国营企业的低效率、腐败。小时候物质的缺乏记忆犹新，我的脚后跟的疤痕还在，是因为没有袜子穿冻的。信国营企业，得信母猪上树。楼主一定是既得利益者。鉴定完毕！